
Ian Hartitz breaks down the near-misses for NFL players who came oh so close to fantasy glory in Week 1, including A.D. Mitchell nearly massive day.

Week 1 has come and gone. 16 NFL games brought joy, laughs, and tears to football fans and, of course, fantasy football faithful.
Today, we’ll focus on the latter sadness and break down just how close some came to achieving fantasy football glory. Critics might call this unnecessary cruelty, while supporters could claim it helps with understanding the full context of what exactly happened last week.
Either way: Welcome to the Sheesh Report.
What follows is a breakdown of all the tilting, near-miss moments from Week 1 that left fantasy managers and fans alike saying, "Sheesh." I’ve watched hours of film and combed play-by-play data to help determine instances when:
First: The "Sheesh-VP" of Week 1. The "Sheesher of the Week" if you will. The Great Sheesh-ino. The Sultan of Sheesh. OK, sorry, yeah: The award for the player least responsible for having an absolute dud in the box score goes to…
You've probably seen Anthony Richardson's absurd 60-yard TD to Alec Pierce by now. It was literally off the charts and deserves plenty of praise.
But here's something the mainstream media hasn't told you about: Rookie Colts WR A.D. Mitchell's box score (1 reception-2 yards-0 TD) is a LIE.
Kind of: That box score technically really did happen, but the absence of not one, not two, but three catchable deep balls left the 2024 NFL Draft's 57th overall pick with a whole lot of nothing instead of multiple trips into the end zone.
An illegal contact penalty slowed down Mitchell in the second clip, and the third miss was unlikely to go for six points due to the safety coming over the top. Still, it's not unreasonable to believe that even somewhat accurate passes from Richardson could have led to an additional 140 extra yards and two TDs.
Instead: Sheesh. Here's to hoping that next week the Colts' Wild Thing under center can save some of his well-placed deep balls for the team's talented rookie. Mitchell's 131 air yards were the eighth-highest mark of Week 1 when including penalties; he's a great under-the-radar option on the waiver wire (hopefully) set for positive regression and is only rostered in 32% of Yahoo leagues at the moment.
Speaking of air yards…
We can help quantity sheeshy plays like Mitchell's aforementioned overthrown deep balls using “unrealized air yards,” which are derived by subtracting yards after the catch from every player’s receiving yards total before taking the difference with total air yards to pinpoint exactly how much opportunity through the air (not including potential YAC) a player failed to come down with for one reason or another.
We're essentially measuring the total distance of everyone's incomplete targets. A high number indicates a player had a lot of fantasy-friendly opportunities but didn't capitalize on them for one reason or another. Cool? Cool.
ANYWAY: Nine players racked up at least 85 unrealized air yards in Week 1 (including penalties), and Mitchell surprisingly wasn't No. 1:
Of course, some misfires hurt more than others. Anytime touchdown bettors might want to sit this next section out.
I would know. Both things have happened to me since Labor Day weekend — and I'll take a bee using me to commit seppuku over watching six points bounce off my wide receiver's hands eight days of the freaking week.
Back to the topic at hand: While drops are a somewhat subjective stat, you know one when you see one — and I, unfortunately, saw the following six dropped TDs with my own two eyes:
In defense of Keenan: He should have had a chance to catch a longer TD earlier in the game, but unfortunately didn't receive what most would consider a catchable pass. Don't you hate when that happens?
You know the moment. The receiver got open, the QB had a reasonable pocket to work from, the pass was there, the crowd stood up … and sheesh: overthrown, underthrown, too high, or too low, and all that goes into the box score is an incompletion.
Below are eight of these unfortunate sequences (sheesh-quences?) that occurred during the last week of action with varying degrees of needed YAC (not including Mitchell's previously highlighted misses):
Now before we continue our trip down nightmare lane, let's take a moment to address one of the bigger perceived sheeshes of Week 1.
It's true. It happened. The rookie had his hand up like prime Randy Moss and everything.
Here's the catch: A look at the all-22 of the play shows that Kyler Murray had moved on in his progression after pump faking to that side of the field, leading to more of an "unfortunate" than "egregious" non-target.
Don't believe me? Listen to ESPN's Dan Orlovsky on the matter.
Phew. What a workout there. Let's get back to some more straightforward sheesh.
Getting all the way to the one-yard line but failing to score a TD is objectively a sheeshy feeling — particularly when fantasy managers are forced to watch someone else vulture away the score that was SO CLOSE to belonging to them.
Here’s the full list of Week 1’s players who managed to get the football within three feet of the goal line, but not quite across the plane, and ultimately didn’t score later on the same drive:
Also note that Eagles QB Jalen Hurts fumbled a tush push snap at the one-yard line, while both Bengals TE Tanner Hudson (oy) and Jaguars RB Travis Etienne (ay caramba) lost possession of the football as they were just about to cross the goal line.
Near scores don't get much sheeshier than this. Then again, sometimes they do.
TDs usually get nullified by a penalty for a good reason, but that doesn’t make the roller coaster of adrenaline any less sheeshful for fantasy managers to deal with.
In Week 1 there were six such instances.
*Law and Order Music*
These are their stories:
One more nullified score deserves a mention: Cowboys K Brandon Aubrey seemingly tied Justin Tucker's NFL record by drilling a 66-yard field goal before halftime, but it got taken away by a delay of game penalty. Dallas then declined to let him attempt a 71-yarder after thinking about it for a minute. At least the screenshot lives on.
Our final category of sheesh is another decision left at the digression of the zebras.
Defensive pass interferences can be finicky and don’t always occur in instances when the targeted receiver would have FOR SURE made the catch.
That said: They are very annoying for fantasy managers to deal with when the result could’ve, should’ve, would’ve been a chunk gain — and maybe even a TD.
The top six players in most yards gained courtesy of drawing DPI flags were as follows:
I think I speak for all of us when I say for one last time: Sheesh.
Thanks for stopping by. We're on to Week 2.