With four teams on bye plus bad weather causing frost on my home rig, offense is down and the pressure’s high on fantasy rosters. Come crunch time, so few players — especially at RB — project well from way back in streaming territory (<33% rostership) — let’s just hope your lineup’s full without too much production from the one-and-done cupboard.

Give our original streaming piece a quick once-over if you missed it the first time around. Long story short, defensive EPA tests out incredibly strong against fantasy points allowed at QB, RB and WR. Football’s so contextual, it makes sense a man-plus-machine approach like EPA would capture as much nuance and context as possible.

TOP STREAMING QUARTERBACK (by EPA)

Tua Tagovailoa, MIA at NYJ

Quarterback play’s more erratic than it’s been in ages, creating more consolidated scoring at the position than ever. For reference, the difference between the QB7 and QB13 is less than one point per contest and Lamar Jackson is fantasy football's QB31 in points/game since returning Week 9 for crying out loud! What is going on?!?

With that, remember each game represents an independent event — so basically, do not watch Tua Tagovailoa’s last three starts for motivation…

Despite a three-game win streak, Miami’s long-beleaguered shot-caller hasn’t topped 180 passing yards or posted a top-20 finish in a month. The downslide’s most likely script-driven and opposition based. When the Fins can beat you on the ground, they’re going to do just that—by serving up heaping helpings of De’Von Achane.

Yes, New York jettisoned interior DT and resident game-wrecker Quinnen Williams in early November. Yet somehow, someway (maybe an eventual Aaron Glenn effect?) Gang Green’s defense kept above-average opposing RBs under 4.0 yards/carry during this ongoing stretch featuring three straight losses. The front-seven’s gotten penetration, if anything.

Anyway, the Jets still stink—insisting on press-man-based schemes on the outside without the personnel or tackling success to back it up. NYJ runs the third-most man looks even though they’re 31st in man EPA. For all intents and purposes, Tua Tagovailoa’s feasted in these spots, including this dreadful 2025 season. Believe it not, Tua’s the NFL’s number one rated QB in EPA against man coverage.

Miami’s going to have a field day Sunday playing off all of the Jets’ vulnerabilities.

TOP STREAMING RUNNING BACK (by EPA)

Jordan Mason, MIN vs WAS

I went out of my way to complain about the RB supply being at an all-time low this season at the open—and anyone playing half-seriously already knows this. Honestly it’s hard to even present streamers who aren’t already universally rostered. And now you have to factor in losing GMs being unfocused with holiday stuff and general disinterest; personally I think it affects our favorite rostership pages.

For instance: Is Bam Knight realllllly only rostered in 25% of leagues? I think not. 

But if so, forget about targeting EPA and stream him for goal-line equity on an aggressive offense alone. In my experience, December means choosing between backups or disaster situations anyway. I find that Knight recommendation laughable myself, but couldn’t leave it out by the numbers. I guess every league’s special in its own way.

More reasonably, Jordan Mason floated his way to your waiver wire as the Vikings’ 2025 season sunk toward the bottom of the ocean. And coming off an all-time offensive stinker, is anyone really clamoring for his services now?

I can’t rant on Max Brosmer’s debut performance here, but let’s just say Minnesota brass throwing this poor young man into that situation bordered on malpractice. For starters, whoever gets the nod Sunday will be going from facing the league’s best D to one of its worst—Washington’s allowing a comical 6.9 yards per play over a six-week span. Yikes.

I'll tell you one thing—non-zero chance we see +40 combined carries from the Purple People Eaters to hide the answer on Sunday. Mason’s playing behind Aaron Jones for sure, though objectively coming on strong of late. MIN’s backfield understudy’s outpaced the lead in yards/carry (5.2), success rate (50%), and explosive rush rate (15.8%)—despite a slightly higher rate of stacked boxes. Kevin O’Connell’s also shown a willingness to get Mason opportunities down by the paint. Nothing in fantasy beats a high-value touch.

How often the Vikings get down there’s yet to be seen—though I’m simply arguing for a return to a below-average unit, opposed to one that’s historically awful. Might not sound like it, but a massive gap lies between the two. Get me a dozen touches with one near the end zone and I’ll be happy. Plus, Aaron Jones continues to battle a shoulder injury for whatever that’s worth.

UPDATE: Per ESPN’s Kevin Seifert, “J.J. McCarthy is symptom free, Kevin O'Connell says, and should emerge from the concussion protocol assuming he gets through a full practice Wednesday. He is their expected starter for Sunday's game vs. Washington.”

TOP STREAMING WIDE RECEIVER (by EPA)

Keon Coleman, BUF vs CIN

What better time than Thanksgiving to queue up the old Charlie Brown kicking the football meme? It’s now almost Week 14… stop me if you heard this one. Buffalo desperately needs a threat at WR,  and relying on Josh Allen to go Super Saiyan every seven days is unsustainable as the AFC’s current number seven seed.

All it took to fall for Keon Coleman yet again coming off of punishment was to lead Buffalo in 2-WR sets at Pittsburgh and reel in a goal-line TD on fourth down. Just when I thought I was out, he pulls me back in…

Sean McDermott seems hell-bent on spreading targets around the roster but I’ll assert once more—the former first-rounder’s the best pass-catching talent in the WR room. If it’s going to happen again this season, why not Cincinnati?

The Bengals couldn’t stop a snowball with a sunray, ranking bottom-5 in all the passing categories that matter over the last month and a half: EPA/dropback (-0.17), passing yards/game (256.2), yards/reception (12.8), yards after catch/completion (7.6), tackle success (45.2%(, and sacks (7). Coleman represented BUF’s WR1 in the second half last weekend—now we just have to build off that (again).

TOP STREAMING TIGHT END (by receptions allowed)

Brenton Strange, JAX vs IND

A popular late-round draft target, Brenton Strange essentially picked up where he left off from injury, making this week’s TE stream vs the Colts clear as day. A reliable secondary option in the passing game who not only commands targets, but can run a full complement of routes, break tackles in the open field, and act as a weapon in the end zone. Yes, please.

Don’t overthink the position, IND’s surrendered the fourth most yards and second-most yards to tight ends. Where do I sign up?