
Dwain McFarland outlines the risers and fallers in his Week 2 fantasy football rankings to help you make your critical start-sit decisions.

It is time to set our fantasy lineups for Week 2, and with that in mind, let's follow the data to analyze some of the biggest risers and fallers in the ranks to help you make those start-sit decisions.
What follows are players from each position who are getting upgraded in my Week 2 fantasy football rankings.
As a reminder, you can access all of our Utilization Report data for 20% off with code DWAIN!
Herbert played pitch and catch against the Chiefs like it was a 7-on-7 drill, completing 25 of 34 passes for 318 yards and three touchdowns. He also added 36 yards on four scrambles before giving away four yards on kneel-downs. The sixth-year signal caller finished as the QB5 with 27.9 points in Week 1.
Herbert notched QB8 and QB3 finishes in fantasy points per game his first two seasons before QB14, QB10 and QB15 campaigns. With the Chargers' added firepower, Herbert looks poised to push for another mid-range QB1 campaign in his second season in the Greg Roman offense.
The Chargers leaned more to the pass after Herbert got healthy in Week 5 of 2024, but they pushed to new territory in Week 1 with an 11.6% dropback rate over expected (DBOE). While it could have been matchup-induced, there is also a chance this is a pass-first squad in 2025.
The Bolts carry the fifth-highest team total (25.5) in a divisional matchup with the Raiders as 3.5-point favorites.
I am not on an island with this one—Herbert is the consensus QB6 in the FantasyLife rankings.
The word on the street is that youngster Trey Benson is taking over this backfield. While the second-year back did have a more significant role in Week 1 with 35% of the rushing attempts, Conner remained in the driver's seat with a 64% snap share.

The veteran dominated short-down-and-distance (SDD) opportunities and notched a 55% route participation rate with 14% of the targets. I think it is fair to question whether Conner will receive as many touches this season as he did last, with Benson looking good, but he is still well-positioned within the Cardinals' offense.
Arizona boasts the fifth-best team total (26.8) in the Game Model with the fourth-highest spread of seven points. Last weekend, Travis Etienne Jr. shredded the Panthers for 143 yards, averaging 8.9 yards per tote. Carolina's defense picked up right where they left off in 2024, when they were the juiciest opponent-adjusted fantasy matchup to RBs with an 8.6 point bump per contest.
Some of my fellow rankers are even more excited than I am about Conner. I have him as a borderline RB1, but multiple rankers have him inside the top 12.
Etienne looked fresh and explosive in Week 1 against the Panthers, compiling 157 total yards. He led the team in snaps (62%), rushing attempts (57%), routes (45%), and was the two-minute back (80%).

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The trade of Tank Bigsby to the Eagles opens the door for Bhayshul Tuten to gain reps, but we could also see Etienne get even more work while the rookie gets up to speed.
The Bengals' run defense was stout last weekend against the Browns, but they were a neutral matchup in 2024.
Etienne climbs out of the RB3 cellar into mid-range RB2 territory.
I don't know if Williams can hang onto this role all season, but my confidence is high regarding Week 2. Even if we have Jaydon Blue active, Williams has a lot of breathing room based on an 80% snap share in Week 1. Williams was a bellcow, remaining on the field for all critical situations like attempts inside the five-yard line and the two-minute offense.

Williams cashed in on two short-yardage touchdowns behind a Cowboys offensive line that earned the No. 3 run-blocking grade (72.2) per PFF. While he didn't look like vintage Javonte, he got what was blocked, which should give him a chance to keep scoring.
Dallas owns the sixth-best team total (25.25) as six-point favorites over the Giants. It's worth noting that our local betting brainiac, Freedman, sees this one slightly differently in the NFL Betting Game Model:
So, you may want to take the points and bet the Giants, but it still looks good for Williams. New York offered the fourth-best opponent-adjusted matchup for RBs last season at plus-4.7 per game. The Commanders' trio of backs ran for 133 yards and a TD on the Giants in Week 1.
Williams UPGRADES to low-end RB2 status and should be in most fantasy lineups.

Smith-Njigba finished hot last season and picked up where he left off with 19.4 fantasy points in Week 1 on a massive 59% target share. The most interesting part about his Week 1 performance was the work downfield (13.6 aDOT) while primarily working from the outside on over 70% of his snaps. He dominated air yards with 91%.

Klint Kubiak also kept the layup looks intact, with 23% of JSN's targets coming on screen passes.
It's worth noting that I struggled with how far to move him up the ranks. I have him sandwiched between Ladd McConkey and Mike Evans. Kubiak loves to pound the rock, and Seattle posted a -10% DBOE (28th), dropping back to pass on only 52% of snaps in Week 1. To continue to thrive, Smith-Njigba will need to continue is target-dominating ways.
The Seahawks are three-point underdogs against the Steelers, and their team total isn't strong at 18.25 points. Still, we saw the same scenario last weekend against Pittsburgh when the Jets stuck with the run while featuring Garrett Wilson.
Smith-Njigba carries the seventh-highest ceiling in our projection model with an Xfinity best projection of 28.4 fantasy points. Hello!
Smith Njigba is a low-end WR1 option this weekend.
Odunze led the Bears with a 25% target share, dialing up 15.7 fantasy points against the Vikings on Monday night. Interestingly, he wasn't just a deep threat, earning targets underneath and in the intermediate game with a 7.5-yard aDOT.

In an expanded route tree, we could see big things from Odunze this season. The departure of Keenan Allen looks like a plus at the moment, with Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III struggling to garner much playing time. Now is the time if the former top-nine pick wants to cement himself as a staple of the Bears' passing attack.
Odunze is a mid-range WR3 who could spike for a massive WR1 outing. Think of names like Jameson Williams and George Pickens, that is Odunze's tier in Week 2.
The Round 1 NFL draft pick exploded onto the scene in Week 1, leading the Colts with nine targets (31%) on his way to 14.9 fantasy points.

Shane Steichan utilized screens, RPOs and play action to create space for his favorite new toy. Given how strong the Broncos' cornerbacks are, that should be the plan again in Week 2.
Warren is a high-end TE1 option in Week 2.
What follows are players from each position who are getting downgraded in my Week 2 fantasy football rankings.
Walker only played 41% of the snaps in Week 1, playing behind Charbonnet, leaving fantasy managers disappointed with only 5.4 fantasy points.

Walker was heavily featured when on the field, garnering a 33% target-per-route-run rate (TPRR) and earning only one less rushing attempt than Charbonnet. Still, his role took a big hit, losing the two-minute offense and the work inside the five-yard line—two of the most valuable opportunities.
To add insult to injury, the Seahawks carry the third-lowest team total (18.25) this weekend.
Walker DOWNGRADES to low-end RB3 territory. Life happens fast, y'all!
Golden notched a lowly 53% route participation and 22 Utilization Score against the Lions. When he was on the field, he wasn't highly targeted with a 15% TPRR.

The first-round pick was dealing with a minor ankle injury heading into the game. So, there is a chance he plays a larger role against the Bears this weekend, but it's challenging to assume that when creating the ranks.
Golden is a borderline WR4 that shouldn't be in lineups if you can avoid it.
Loveland was my TE faller last week due to uncertainty about his role in Week 1. We are going to run it back again for Week 2, because now our worst fears have been confirmed: Loveland is playing behind Cole Kmet.

Good things could still be in store for the rookie first-rounder as the year progresses, but a 48% route participation is a big flashing sign that says BENCH ME.
Loveland is a low-end TE2 that shouldn't be in lineups.
I want to throw in a few names for all my fellow fantasy managers who are in a SICKO league. If you are in a 12-team league with three starting WRs and two flexes, these are for you! Or you are in a more typical setup but need a name to help get you through injuries; these are for you!
Let's go, you sickos.
Week 1: Daniel Jones (hit), Jerome Ford (miss), Rashod Bateman (miss), Hunter Henry (hit)
Lawrence is rostered in 47% of Yahoo leagues and is in a starting lineup only 10% of the time.
Lawrence burned me last weekend by failing to pay off my rank inside the top 12. This is his chance at redemption. He has massive shoes to fill, considering Daniel Jones finished as the QB3 with 29.5 points last weekend.
Still, the same reasons I believed in Lawrence make him a viable sicko candidate. First, he has a history of rushing production. Second, he has the playmakers around him to spike in the passing department.
Lawrence is a mid-range QB2 but still offers the ability to spike in two categories as a mid-range QB1.
Tracy is rostered in 91% of Yahoo leagues, but is in a starting lineup only 28% of the time.
Tracy dominated the Giants' backfield with a 73% snap share against the Commanders. He wasn't able to get anything going with 5.5 fantasy points, but the role was there.

While the second-year player might not retain the same role over the course of the season, it's hard not to feel decent about his chances in Week 2 against the Cowboys.
Follow the Utilization, y'all.
Boutte is rostered in 21% of Yahoo leagues.
Boutte has had multiple opportunities over his first two seasons to step forward into a larger role, but hasn't been able to come through. Still, he led the Patritos in route participation (83%) and targets in Week 1.

To be clear, those aren't great numbers. But Stefon Diggs is still recovering from his ACL, and rookie Kyle Williams isn't playing much so far.
Boutte is a boom-bust WR5 for you deep leaguers.
Johnson is rostered in 28% of Yahoo leagues, but only in a starting lineup 9% of the time.
The Saints QB room is a complete mess, but Johnson is in line for the most significant role of his career with Taysom Hill out. Kellen Moore sang his praises through the offseason, and Johnson garnered an ELITE 96% route participation rate in Week 1.

He finished second on the team with a 27% target share and posted the No. 1 TE Utilization Score in Week 1.
Johnson climbs to borderline TE1 status in Week 2.