2023 Fantasy Football WR Tiers

Yes, the NFL season doesn’t start for basically another six months.

Also yes, fantasy football never sleeps and it’s always a great day to be great.

What follows is the first edition of my 2023 fantasy football WR tiers. The players are indeed ranked in order inside of the specific tiers; just realize the disparity is far wider between tiers as opposed to individual rankings.

Check out Fantasy Life’s ADP tool for updated average draft positions throughout the offseason.

Tier 1: Griddy

WR1: Vikings WR Justin Jefferson

Underdog ADP: WR1 (1.1)
Key question: Just how special have Jefferson’s first three seasons been?

Pretty, pretty, pretty special. Arguably the best in NFL history:

Receptions: 324 (No. 1)
Receiving yards: 4,825 (No. 1)
Receiving touchdowns: 25 (tied for No. 25)
PPR points: 973.3 (No. 1)
PPR points per game: 19.5 (No. 3)

The NFL’s reigning king in receptions (128) and receiving yards (1,809), Jefferson has the requisite combination of high-end volume and elite talent to stand tall as the overall fantasy WR1 entering 2023.

Seriously: How is any mere mortal supposed to guard this guy?

WR2: Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase

Underdog ADP: WR2 (2.3)
Key question: Is Chase’s volume okay when Tee Higgins is also involved?

Absolutely. While things were virtually dead even from a pure target perspective through 20 full games together, Chase really took the lead in a major way in 2022.

Overall, Chase has posted a 174-2623-21 receiving line on 258 targets in 30 full games alongside Higgins (151-2179-14 on 227 targets) since entering the league in 2021. Hell, Chase nearly had as many targets in 15 total games last season (162) as he did in 21 contests back in 2021 (163).

Chase has an elite workload and ranks fifth in PPR points per game since entering the league behind only Cooper Kupp, Davante Adams, Justin Jefferson, and Tyreek Hill.

I’ll happily roll with the Bengals’ 23-year-old stud as my overall WR2 thanks to his objectively superior QB situation compared to each of those aforementioned fellow top dogs.

Tier 2: Certified kings

WR3: Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill

Underdog ADP: WR4 (5.1)
Key question: Is Hill due for more touchdowns?

The legit track star set career-high marks in targets (170), receptions (119), and receiving yards (1,710) alike in his first season with the Dolphins; the only “problem” was a relatively middling seven receiving scores.

Hill’s game-by-game route trees look like a maze from one of those old National Geographic magazines you’d scan at the doctor’s office; it’s not like head coach Mike McDaniel isn’t doing enough to maximize the talent here.

Still, Tua Tagovailoa just led the NFL with a 6.3% pass TD rate; plenty of research suggests this rate will dip in a potentially meaningful way in 2023.

Overall, 83 QBs have posted a TD rate of at least six percent with a minimum of eight starts since 2000. Among those who again started eight games the following season: A whopping 62 of 68 signal-callers (91%) saw their rate decline during their encore campaign.

The median (-1.7%) and mean (-1.65%) demonstrate that not every high-efficiency QB completely falls off a cliff the following year, but it’s still tough to be overly optimistic about Tua finding even more success filling up the stat sheet in 2023.

Don’t get it twisted: Hill deserves to be in any conversation surrounding fantasy and real life’s single-best WR, but I’ll take my chances on the former LSU teammates at the top of drafts thanks to their slightly higher scoring ceilings.

WR4: Bills WR Stefon Diggs

Underdog ADP: WR5 (7.1)
Key question: Are Diggs’s best seasons already in the past?

It’d make sense if they are because…just how much better can the man be? Overall, Diggs has peeled off 127-1535-8, 103-1225-10, and 108-1429-11 receiving lines since teaming up with Josh Allen in 2020. Only Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp, Tyreek Hill, and Justin Jefferson have averaged more PPR points per game during this span.

Of course, Father Time is undefeated, and Diggs turns 30 in November. This is historically when WRs go from great to good in fantasy land: Only 14 WRs have posted top-12 seasons in PPR points per game after turning 30 over the past 10 years.

Nothing about Diggs’s 2022 performance indicated a major drop-off in performance was imminent, and the Bills (to this point) haven’t added any target competition to worry about. Age alone isn’t enough reason to completely fade somebody; just realize it’s enough to serve as a tiebreaker when compared against similarly elite talents with absurdly fantasy-friendly volume.

WR5: Rams WR Cooper Kupp

Underdog ADP: WR3 (4.8)
Key question: Can Kupp keep on keeping on without Matthew Stafford under center?

We might not have to find out. Stafford said he wasn’t going to retire earlier this offseason, but there have been some murmurs indicating that’s not entirely out of the question. I do anticipate Stafford playing in 2023; just realize this is one of the key injury situations to monitor throughout the offseason.

All Kupp has done with Stafford is work as fantasy’s overall WR1 in PPR points per game in back-to-back seasons. However, Kupp’s lone contest with John Wolford under center didn’t instill a ton of confidence: The Super Bowl MVP caught three of five targets for negative one yard in 40 snaps before suffering a season-ending ankle injury.

It’d be reasonable to rank Kupp as THE overall WR1 with full assurance of Stafford being under center for 17 games in 2023, but that’s hardly the case at the moment, so instead he’s jerking the curtain on the position’s top-five talents. Still not too shabby!

WR6: Raiders WR Davante Adams

Underdog ADP: WR7 (10.1)
Key question: How concerning is Adams’s QB change?

While Jimmy Garoppolo might not have the same level of arm strength and/or escapability as Aaron Rodgers or even Derek Carr, Garoppolo has been astoundingly good over his career from a yards per attempt perspective: No QB since the 1970 merger has averaged more yards per attempt than Jimmy G (8.3) with a minimum of 50 starts.

Garoppolo has also done a good job enabling fantasy-friendly teammates over the years, leading each of George Kittle (85-1053-5 in 2019), Deebo Samuel (77-1405-6 in 2021), and Brandon Aiyuk (78-1015-8) north of the thousand-yard mark during his three seasons with 10-plus starts.

Only Justin Jefferson (184) demanded more targets than Adams (180) last season; head coach Josh McDaniels knows exactly who his offense’s No. 1 pass-game weapon is.

Perhaps Jimmy G spreads things out a bit more than Adams’s fantasy managers would prefer, but there’s still more than enough high-end talent and volume upside here to fire up the 30-year-old veteran as a top-six option in 2023.

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Tier 3: Absolute stud with some competition

WR7: Eagles WR A.J. Brown

Underdog ADP: WR4 (8.3)
Key question: Was AJB better than ever in 2022?

Definitely in terms of counting numbers, and pretty much even when focusing on pure efficiency:

2022: 88.0 receiving grade, 2.59 yards per route run, 23.7% targets per route run
2021: 86.8 grade, 2.5 YPRR, 29.1% TPRR
2020: 90.1 grade, 2.65 YPRR, 24.9% TPRR
2019: 83.0 grade, 2.01 YPRR, 21.4% TPRR

Brown didn’t demand quite as many targets on a per-route basis (that Devonta Smith guy is pretty special too), but the more pass-happy nature of the offense relative to the Derrick Henry-led Titans made up for it with a bigger overall target pie.

AJB is finally receiving the sort of workload that his high-end talents deserve. Fire up the reigning WR7 in PPR points per game as just that; if anything, expectations deserve to be higher considering the Eagles’ depleted defense could force their offense to keep its collective foot on the gas during far more fourth quarters than last season.

WR8: Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb

Underdog ADP: WR8 (10.6)
Key question: Will Mike McCarthy’s quest to run the d*mn ball negatively impact Lamb’s fantasy value?

The Cowboys were already a run-heavy team with now-Chargers OC Kellen Moore at the helm in 2022, so new play-caller/incumbent head coach Mike McCarthy’s desire to “run the damn ball” might not be quite as detrimental as Twitter is making it out to be.

The larger issue might be the team’s potential to regress in the scoring department due to the change. There’s not much room to go except down anyways:

And yet, Lamb’s breakout 2022 campaign happened even with Dak Prescott missing five games. The 24-year-old WR was deployed all over the formation and regularly found ways to individually make big-time plays through both YAC goodness and exceptional hands.

The addition of Brandin Cooks could help spring Lamb back to 2021-level efficiency, although a more crowded offense could do the same to his volume. Ultimately, this latter factor is the only thing keeping Lamb out of the position’s top-five conversation; he’s still a no-doubt upside WR1 as a perennial top-tier scoring offense’s clear-cut alpha pass-game option.

WR9: Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

Underdog ADP: WR10 (16)
Key question: Will the Sun God stay shining with more target competition?

It’s hard to see why not. The 2021 fourth-round pick has earned at least nine targets in an incredible 18 of his last 20 games.

While “upside” is generally associated with players capable of scoring an 80-yard touchdown in the blink of an eye, target-vacuums like St. Brown kill their fantasy competition with one thousand paper-cuts in the form of supreme full-PPR friendly workloads.

All tongue-in-cheek Twitter jokes aside: The insertion of Jameson Williams really does profile as a potential positive for St. Brown considering the sort of gravity the 2022 first-round pick figures to command from safeties.

The Sun God was one of just nine WRs to average at least 2.4 yards per route last season; he remains the preferred underneath and intermediate maestro inside of the league’s reigning fifth-ranked scoring offense.

WR10: Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle

Underdog ADP: WR11 (17.6)
Key question: Can Waddle continue to post asinine efficiency numbers on less-than-amazing volume?

Only two men averaged more yards per route run than Waddle (2.59) last season: Tyreek Hill (3.2) and Justin Jefferson (2.62). Nobody with an average target depth of at least 5.5 yards was more lethal than Waddle in terms of yards after the catch (6.9). Only Stefon Diggs (124.3) and Christian Watson (123.3) garnered a higher passer rating when targeted than Waddle (122.6) among 80 WRs with at least 50 targets.

Yeah, the Dolphins’ rising third-year WR was pretty special in 2022.

The potential “problem” is Waddle had a workload closer to a WR3. In fact, his 12.9 expected PPR points per game ranked just 27th at the position. He joined A.J. Brown and Tyler Lockett as the only WRs with more than 40 fantasy points above expectation, which is cool in the sense that this means these guys are really f*cking good, but also not that cool in the sense that they don’t have much margin for error due to their relatively limited volume.

Waddle rather inexplicably averaged just 5.6 targets per game during the final seven weeks of the season. The talent here might be outrageous, but at least in 2022, the Dolphins were more than willing to feature Hill as the true No. 1 option.

Waddle isn’t the only WR with this problem—only so many players are force-fed 150-plus targets per season—but it’s still enough of a problem to keep him closer to the WR1 borderline despite last year’s overall PPR WR8 finish.

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WR11: Bengals WR Tee Higgins

Underdog ADP: WR13 (23.2)
Key question: How likely is it for teammates to both finish as top-12 fantasy WRs in the same season?

Not very, but it happens. Overall, there have been 18 instances of teammate WRs posting top-12 numbers in PPR points per game in the same season since 2012—good for an average of 1.6 occurrences per season.

Ja’Marr Chase and Higgins accomplished this very feat in 2021. While things didn’t work out quite so well in 2022, Higgins had three separate games produce lowly snap rates of 1%, 16%, and 26% due to injury. Excluding those, he averaged a robust 16.6 PPR points per game, which would have been good for WR11 status in 2022.

The rising fourth-year talent might be an overqualified No. 2 WR, but there’s plenty of production available inside the Bengals’ high-flying passing attack. I’d rather go with this archetype vs. a worse WR inside of an offense with a slightly higher volume ceiling.

WR12: Eagles WR DeVonta Smith

Underdog ADP: WR12 (21.5)
Key question: How far ahead was AJB compared to Smith in Jalen Hurts's pecking order?

Not much! A.J. Brown had 167 targets in 20 combined regular season and playoff games, while Smith came in at 158. Brown did have fantasy-friendly leads in targets inside the 20-yard line (16 vs. 12) and average target depth (13 vs. 10.2), but clearly this is far more of a 1.A/1.B situation than a major drop-off from No. 1 to No. 2.

Nov 20, 2022; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith (6) runs with the ball while Indianapolis Colts cornerback Isaiah Rodgers (34) defends in the first quarter at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

“Skinny Batman” had at least eight targets in 11 of his last 12 games in 2022; there’s more than enough volume to go around inside of the league’s reigning third-ranked scoring offense.

While Smith might struggle to get the sort of monstrous 150-plus regular season target workload that is usually required for a top-five finish, the former Heisman Trophy winner is more than talented enough to (again) turn in borderline WR1 production with slightly less than ideal volume.

Tier 4: Ballers with one red flag

WR13: Jets WR Garrett Wilson

Underdog ADP: WR9 (14.8)
Key question: Is Wilson destined for a year-two boom with (hopefully) Aaron Rodgers under center?

Maybe. The man is a baller after all.

Wilson deserves a medal for putting up an 83-1103-4 receiving line while catching passes from Zach Wilson, Mike White, and Joe Flacco; just look at how Elijah Moore responded to dealing with that group.

While the Ohio State product did benefit from Corey Davis missing four games, Wilson’s average of 9.9 targets per game after the team’s Week 10 bye reflects the reality that he was the engine of this offense down the stretch.

The rising second-year stud is certainly priced a bit closer to his ceiling than floor, although there’s serious boom potential as the rather undisputed No. 1 WR in an offense presumably led by Rodgers.

I’m drinking the Kool-Aid to an extent; just be careful about going too far out of your way in ranking Wilson over similarly-talented WRs in far more established passing games.

WR14: Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf

Underdog ADP: WR15 (26.4)

WR15: Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett

Underdog ADP: WR31 (56.6)
Key question: Why is Lockett undervalued in fantasy land every single year?

Metcalf (141 targets) led the way over Lockett (117) last season, but the former did play one more game than the latter. Credit to Lockett for winning out in PPR points per game (15.1, WR14) compared to Metcalf (13.6, WR23).

It’s unclear what the eight-year veteran has to do at this point to earn some respect in fantasy land. Lockett has smashed his ADP on an annual basis ever since landing a full-time starting job in 2018:

Turning 31 in September isn’t ideal, although the iron man has missed just three (!) total games since entering the league in 2015. Lockett (rather hilariously) seldom exposes himself to big hits.

The volume and age advantages are enough to give Metcalf the nod, but their average draft position is (again) far too wide. Drafters should feel free to prioritize lower-ranked WRs over Lockett due to the ADP gap; just realize Geno Smith’s top-two receivers will be neck-and-neck in the rankings come Week 1.

WR16: Jaguars WR Calvin Ridley

Underdog ADP: WR19 (37)
Key question: Can we explain away Ridley’s lack of 2021 production?

We haven’t seen Ridley play football in a while.

Friendly reminder: He’s really good.

Reinstated after missing all of 2022 due to suspension, Ridley appears to be healthy and ready to go if his AWESOME piece in The Players Tribune is any indication.

Ridley has worked as the WR14 in PPR points per game among all receivers to play at least 16 games since 2018, after all. His ceiling as Trevor Lawrence’s likely No. 1 WR is awfully high; I’m all in on staying ahead of ADP to get as many shares as possible this offseason.

WR17: Saints WR Chris Olave

Underdog ADP: WR14 (23.6)
Key question: Just how special was Olave’s rookie season?

Pretty, pretty, pretty special. All Olave did in 2022 was average the fifth-most yards per route run by a rookie receiver over the past 10 years:

2014 Odell Beckham Jr. (2.75 yards per route run)
2019 A.J. Brown (2.67)
2020 Justin Jefferson (2.66)
2021 Ja’Marr Chase (2.51)
2022 Olave (2.42)

The 2022 NFL Draft’s No. 11 overall pick benefited from both Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry missing plenty of time with injuries; just realize a ridiculous volume-hog role isn’t as necessary when a player comes with this sort of absurd per-route efficiency.

Adding Derek Carr to the equation is a net positive considering his ability to enable the likes of Davante Adams, Hunter Renfrow, Michael Crabtree, and Amari Cooper to varying degrees of fantasy success over the years. There is some potential for Thomas to regain his No. 1 role, but ascending 23-year-old talents who were that good as rookies shouldn’t be faded.

WR18: Browns WR Amari Cooper

Underdog ADP: WR18 (35.9)
Key question: How was Cooper’s performance with Deshaun Watson under center?

Not good, although typically terrible late-season Cleveland weather didn’t help matters. Overall, Cooper only put forward one top-30 PPR performance during Watson’s six starts of the season.

That said: Cooper is still very much one of the game’s premiere route-running technicians and managed to make the absolute most out of the Jacoby Brissett experience.

It’s possible there’s more volume on the table than ever inside of Kevin Stefanski’s typically run-heavy offense. One of Matthew Berry’s 23 most interesting things he heard at the NFL combine stated that the Browns “are really going to open up the offense. Go five wide. Pass a lot. This is going to be Deshaun Watson's offense, not Nick Chubb's. They will pass a lot more than folks expect.”

Watson’s long-time No. 1 WR DeAndre Hopkins saw north of 150 targets in all four of their seasons together. Cooper will be 29 in June, but the potential for an even bigger target workload and a return of pre-2022 Watson is too much to pass up.

Fire up Cooper as the top-20 WR he was in 2022 in both realized and expected PPR points.

WR19: 49ers WR Deebo Samuel

Underdog ADP: WR16 (33)
Key question: Why did Deebo’s fantasy production drop off so much in 2022?

Hamstring, ankle, and knee injuries certainly didn’t help, but things weren’t going great even before suffering the former injury at the end of Week 7. Overall, Samuel was just the WR18 in PPR points per game during the first seven weeks of the season; he finished as the WR28 on a per-game basis for the entire season.

Oct 3, 2022; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel (19) runs with the ball as Los Angeles Rams linebacker Leonard Floyd (54) pursues during the fourth quarter at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The thing is, Deebo was only the WR21 in expected PPR points per game (13.5) in 2022. This wasn’t too far removed from his mark in 2021 (15, 14th); the difference is that Samuel scored an unreal 98.5 PPR points above expectation in 2021 (No. 1) compared to -2.9 in 2022 (129th).

Samuel’s breakout 2021 campaign was thanks to him averaging an absurd 18.2 yards per reception to go along with an unsustainable 59-365-8 rushing line. The rising fifth-year veteran still led the NFL in yards after the catch per reception last season, but a changing offensive dynamic led to his average target depth cratering from 8.6 yards to 4.5.

This offense is absolutely loaded and accordingly doesn’t need to force feed one particular member. Deebo will still make plenty of great plays—he’s a great football player after all—but he’ll need to once again go super saiyan to make up for another potential WR3-level workload. That’s tough to prioritize too far up in the WR2 ranks.

There should still be plenty of betting opportunities for Samuel this season, and you can get up to $1,000 paid back in bonus bets on your first bet if it does not win thanks to BetMGM. Follow the offer below to claim yours.

WR20: Chargers WR Keenan Allen

Underdog ADP: WR27 (50.1)

WR21: Chargers WR Mike Williams

Underdog ADP: WR20 (40.4)
Key question: What does Justin Herbert’s target distribution look like with both Williams and Allen healthy?

Wildly in favor of Allen during the 33 games in which each all three have been healthy enough to play at least 30% of the game’s snaps. Their per-game production in these contests is as follows:

Williams: 6.9 targets, 4.2 receptions-61.9 yards-0.4 TD, 12.8 PPR points
Allen: 10.2 targets, 7.2 receptions-76.1 yards-0.4 TD, 17.4 PPR points

The case for Williams is that things have gotten a bit closer over the last two years in terms of both per-game opportunity (9.6 targets vs. 7.7) and fantasy production (16.5 PPR points vs. 14.8). Allen turns 31 in April; there have only been 14 instances of a 30-plus year old WR turning in top-12 fantasy production over the past decade.

Of course, Allen stands as one of those qualifiers thanks to his sterling per-game production in 2022 when healthy enough to suit up.

The Chargers sure don’t look to be moving on from Allen as one of Herbert’s top-two pass-game weapons. If anything, he could be needed more than ever should Austin Ekeler’s trade demands be met; I’m comfortable being ahead of ADP on the 10-year veteran thanks to the reality that his Week 1 and on rankings will smash the current middling WR3 ADP.

Meanwhile, Williams has earned a bit of a boom-or-bust label over the years. His tendency to crash to the ground like a bag of rocks in contested-catch situations has occasionally led to an early exit, but the six-year veteran has still managed to play in 85 of a potential 92 games since entering the league in 2017.

Investing in either of Herbert’s top-two pass-game options should be good for fantasy business if new OC Kellen Moore can replicate some of his rather awesome (regular season) success.

WR22: Cardinals (for now) WR DeAndre Hopkins

Underdog ADP: WR17 (34.1)
Key question: What teams would give Hopkins the best boost in 2023 fantasy value?

I discussed this very topic on the March 27th edition of The Fantasy Life Podcast with Dwain “The Rock” McFarland. Obviously the artist known as Nuk would help all 32 teams, but his personal fantasy value would certainly benefit from a situation with minimal target competition and/or high-end overall scoring upside.

Dwain and I arrived at the following tiers of teams:

Immediately locked in as WR1:

Giants: It’s legal for an offense to have more than just slot receivers.
Panthers: Let’s get C.J. Stroud another quality veteran receiver and see what happens.
Patriots: Reunited with Bill O’Brien, which certainly worked out just fine over the years in Houston.
Ravens: Finally a true WR1 for Lamar Jackson…if, you know.
Titans: Ryan Tannehill certainly helped A.J. Brown put up some solid numbers.

Maybe not the No. 1, but offense should be dope so probably fine:

Bills: Would finally provide a true high-end No. 2 WR to Stefon Diggs (with all due respect to late career John Brown and Cole Beasley).
Browns: Hopkins very well could be the No. 1 option ahead of Amari Cooper; reuniting with Deshaun Watson could be the best outcome on this list should the ex-Texans QB regain pre-2021 form.
Chiefs: It’s not illegal to splurge on an extra weapon for Patrick Mahomes, although clearly the front office’s strategy of devoting resources elsewhere is working just fine.
Lions: Would certainly face target competition from Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams, but Hopkins could win out, plus joining the league’s reigning fifth-ranked scoring offense heightens the TD ceiling.
Rams: The logical next step after adding Odell Beckham Jr. and Allen Robinson over the past two seasons.
Vikings: Currently have the league’s fifth-fewest 2023 dollars devoted to the WR position.

Better real life than fantasy landing spot:

Bears: Tough to see the Bears being a true pass-first offense, meaning Hopkins would be dealing with plenty of target competition alongside D.J. Moore and company in addition to potentially porous efficiency under center should Justin Fields not improve as a passer.
Cowboys: Suddenly an awfully crowded WR room with each of CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks, and Michael Gallup ready to go.
Eagles: One of the only teams in the league where Hopkins might be the third-best WR on the squad.
Packers: The Packers are dead last in WR spending at the moment.
Seahawks: Potential No. 3 in an offense already loaded in the form of D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, but obviously Geno Smith would be happy.

WR23: Commanders WR Terry McLaurin

Underdog ADP: WR28 (50.1)
Key question: Can McLaurin’s fantasy production survive yet another QB change?

McLaurin’s 2022 production was particularly impressive when you grind the film and realize just how many times he won against some of the league’s top CBs: None of Jaire Alexander (5-73-1), Stephon Gilmore (6-113-0), or Darius Slay (6-102-0, 8-128-0) had much of an answer for the Commanders’ undisputed No. 1 WR.

Unfortunately, style points don’t count for anything extra in fantasy football, and McLaurin has to get used to yet another QB change.

Speaking of McLaurin’s career QBs: Want to see a dead body?

It’s possible Sam Howell (throws a pretty deep ball!) or Jacoby Brissett (legit good in 2022! No. 3 in CPOE!) are better than anything else McLaurin has dealt with. Things certainly can’t get much worse: Taylor Heinicke (48.9 PFF passing grade, 47th) and Carson Wentz (58.9, 39th) were two of PFF’s 10 lowest-graded QBs in passing among 48 qualified signal-callers last season.

McLaurin has provided borderline WR2 production throughout his career despite a never-ending carousel of mediocre QB play. It’s possible, if not likely, this continues, but he’ll be an absolutely screaming value at present mid-tier WR3 valuation if not. I’m willing to find out; McLaurin is priced far closer to his demonstrated high floor than ceiling.

WR24: Cardinals WR Marquise Brown

Underdog ADP: WR34 (64.6)
Key question: How good was Hollywood without DeAndre Hopkins in the picture?

Rather awesome. Like, really good:

Week 1: 4 receptions-43 yards-1 TD (6 targets)
Week 2: 6-68-0 (11)
Week 3: 14-140-0 (17)
Week 4: 6-88-1 (11)
Week 5: 8-78-1 (10)
Week 6: 5-68-0 (9)

Overall, the artist known as Hollywood worked as the PPR WR5 before breaking his foot.

Read that last sentence again. Madness. Only Stefon Diggs, Cooper Kupp, Tyreek Hill, and Justin Jefferson had more PPR fantasy points than Brown during the first six weeks of his Cardinals career. His pre-injury pace: 122-1374-9—and he looked good doing it!

Yes, that stretch occurred with a healthy Kyler Murray under center. It’s likely, if not probable, that Murray will miss a decent bit of 2023. Brown posted mediocre 4-34-0, 4-19-0, 3-57-0, 6-61-0, and 1-7-0 receiving lines after Murray was injured during the final six weeks of the season.

Also, yes, DeAndre Hopkins is tentatively expected to be playing elsewhere this season. The long-time target hog was featured well ahead of Brown during their three weeks together and regularly commanded double-digit targets from Kyler before the injury.

Buried in the WR3 ranks at the moment, Brown profiles as one of fantasy’s potential mid-round gems thanks to his potential to see 150-plus targets in an offense that will hopefully have something close to a high-end QB under center for at least half the season depending on Murray’s eventual status.

It’d obviously be great for Brown’s fantasy value if Murray gets back to full health sooner rather than later; just realize there should be enough volume on the table to more than keep the ship afloat in the meantime.

I’m in on Brown well ahead of ADP. So is he.

WR25: Bears WR D.J. Moore

Underdog ADP: WR21 (40.5)
Key question: Is Justin Fields the man to finally boom Moore’s fantasy production?

I hope so. There probably isn’t a single WR in the NFL that has suffered more from porous QB performance than Moore over the past half-decade.

Maybe Terry McLaurin, but I still lean Moore. It’s a minor miracle that Moore has managed to continue supplying WR3 fantasy goodness along the way:

2018: 9.8 PPR points per game (PPR WR54 per game)
2019: 15.4 (WR17)
2020: 14.1 (WR28)
2021: 14 (WR27)
2022: 11.7 (WR35)

Give the Bears’ franchise QB credit for making a handful or two of truly awesome throws in 2022, but Justin Fields ranked outside the NFL’s top-20 signal-callers in accuracy rating (25th), deep ball completion rate (22nd), pressured completion rate (24th), and clean pocket completion rate (27th).

The NFL’s reigning second-most run-heavy offense in non-garbage time pass-play rate, only the Titans, Panthers, Ravens, and Falcons offered fewer expected PPR points per game to their WRs than the Bears in 2022.

Yes, Fields is likely an upgrade for Moore over what he dealt with in 2022. Also yes, it’s possible that the improvement in passing efficiency won’t be enough to make up for reduced volume inside of a passing game that could add a day one pick to the equation.

Young QBs like Jalen Hurts, Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, and Joe Burrow took their game to another level when their respective offenses added a true alpha WR1 to the equation; just realize Moore is being drafted far closer to his demonstrated ceiling than what he’s been for the better part of the last three seasons.me

Tier 5: Potential cheap No. 1 WRs

WR26: Steelers WR Diontae Johnson

Underdog ADP: WR39 (74.5)
Key question: Should the majority of blame from 2022’s touchdown-less campaign be placed on Johnson, or was it just bad luck?

You might have heard Johnson didn’t score a single TD in 2022. His 147 scoreless targets are 38 more than the next-closest tally since the metric began being tracked in 1992.

Transitioning from Ben Roethlisberger to Kenny Pickett certainly didn’t help in year one. Johnson was one of just five receivers who scored more than 30 PPR points below expectation on the season:

Johnson (-72.6 PPR points below expectation)
Drake London (-35.5)
Marvin Jones (-33)
Garrett Wilson (-31.6)
Chase Claypool (-30.9)

Eight drops didn’t help (tied for the second most in the NFL), although it’s not like anyone is complaining about Stefon Diggs (9) leading the way.

Perhaps the larger concern is Johnson’s mediocre 2.8 yards after the catch per reception, a bottom-10 mark that ranks alongside veterans like DeAndre Hopkins and Mike Evans.

Attempting to discern whether Johnson’s 2022 was simply terribly unlucky, or more so the result of him simply not being a great football player, is one of the more important questions of the offseason. He made my “All-Sheesh Team” for all of his near misses; there were more than a few instances of the four-year veteran coming oh so close to coming down with a spectacular catch.

Oct 30, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson (18) is knocked out of bounds by Philadelphia Eagles safety Marcus Epps (22) at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Ultimately, Johnson joins Tyreek Hill, Justin Jefferson, Stefon Diggs and Davante Adams as the only five receivers with more than 450 targets over the past three seasons. While he wasn’t as successful with Pickett under center, the 2022 campaign did prove that the 26-year-old talent is certainly still this offense’s No. 1 WR.

Johnson posted WR22 and WR8 finishes in PPR points per game during the 2020 and 2021 seasons before last year’s WR41 disappointment. Of course, he’s accordingly now being priced far closer to his floor than ceiling; I’m happy to scoop up all the shares I can get as long as the ADP remains in borderline WR3 territory.

WR27: Jaguars WR Christian Kirk

Underdog ADP: WR25 (50.6)
Key question: Did Kirk live up to his massive $84 million contract?

Pretty much! Kirk set career-high marks in receptions (84), receiving yards (1,108), and receiving TDs (8). He also performed well when it mattered, posting 8-78-1 and 7-52-1 receiving lines in two playoff performances.

And guess what: Kirk looked good while doing so. Displaying a mix of pristine route-running ability and after-the-catch goodness, Kirk posted top-30 marks at the position in PFF receiving grade (76.1, 28th) and yards per route run (1.79, tied for 29th).

Unfortunately, Kirk’s reign as the Jaguars’ No. 1 WR might be over in the form of Calvin Ridley. Hell, Kirk (133 targets) wasn’t even featured that far ahead of Zay Jones (121); it’s possible—if not likely—that the ex-Cardinals WR struggles to see the same sort of volume in 2023.

Good news: Most of this concern is already being priced into Kirk’s WR3-level ADP. He’s still a featured member of an ascending passing attack; fire up last season’s WR19 in PPR points per game as a high-floor WR3 inside an offense worth investing in.

WR28: 49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk

Underdog ADP: WR33 (62.2)
Key question: Is Aiyuk just scratching the surface on what he’s truly capable of achieving?

Yes. The man’s 2022 route-running mixtape is as good as anyone out there.

Aiyuk’s 78-1,015-8 receiving line was good for career-best marks across the board, although he did benefit from Deebo Samuel missing four games throughout the season.

The 49ers put forward the following target distribution in five games with Brock Purdy and Samuel both fully healthy:

Samuel: 34 targets
Aiyuk: 26
Christian McCaffrey: 26
George Kittle: 21
Jauan Jennings: 15

Aiyuk isn’t dealing with just Deebo, as both CMC and Kittle warrant (and at times demand) similarly high target shares on a week-to-week basis. There’s little doubt that Aiyuk has flashed serious high-end ability, but it’s tough to move him too far up the WR3 ranks due to the absolutely loaded nature of this 49ers offense.

WR29: Buccaneers WR Mike Evans

Underdog ADP: WR35 (65.2)

WR30: Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin

Underdog ADP: WR32 (56.4)
Key question: Are Evans and Godwin this season’s version of D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett?

The question comes from the reality that the Buccaneers QB change could quickly turn things south for the entire offense. Tampa Bay’s reigning 25th-ranked scoring offense will be led by either Baker Mayfield or Kyle Trask; it’s safe to say things probably aren’t going to get better.

Convenient for this metaphor, new Buccaneers OC Dave Canales served as Geno Smith’s QB coach last season. Yes, Mayfield has spent the better part of the last two seasons being an objectively bad QB. Also yes, he has at least flashed more best-case upside than your typical low-level QB, setting the NFL record for touchdown passes by a rookie (27 before Justin Herbert broke it) and leading the Browns to their first playoff victory since 1994.

Jarvis Landry posted WR25 and WR21 production in PPR points per game in 2018 and 2019 with Mayfield as his starting QB. Even Odell Beckham Jr. posted WR33 and WR38 numbers in 2019 and 2020. Things weren’t as pretty over the last two seasons, but it’s not like Mayfield has *zero* history of putting up at least below-average passing production.

Both Evans (77-1,124-6) and Godwin (104-1,023-3) managed to post top-15 production in PPR points per game despite last season’s turmoil. Fantasy managers certainly weren’t thrilled that Evans took until Week 17 (10-207-3) to really boom, but I’m not a fan of “take away a player’s good games and look they were actually bad” analysis.

Both WRs have posted top-16 PPR production on a per-game basis in four consecutive seasons. Similar to the other WRs in this tier: Their depressed ADP makes sense considering the obvious red flag, but even a below-average passing attack could still produce quality fantasy players with enough volume. Don’t look any further back than literally last season to find such an example for both.

Tier 6: Mega leap candidates

WR31: Packers WR Christian Watson

Underdog ADP: WR23 (44.7)
Key question: Just how efficient was Watson during his injury-riddled rookie season?

Better than every other rookie WR with at least 50 targets not named Chris Olave. Overall, Watson’s average of 2.26 yards per route run ranked 11th among 80 qualified WRs; just imagine how great things would have been without his infamous drop on the Packers’ first offensive play of the season.

Of course, it took until Week 10 for the rookie to show any real signs of life, but after that he posted four consecutive top-10 PPR finishes. The hot stretch cooled off over the final month of the season; at a minimum, Watson still proved capable of winning weeks thanks to his big-play ability—even occasionally (one time) with Jordan Love under center!

Obviously the potential for Love to be a severe downgrade from Aaron Rodgers is the problem. There’s also the reality that Watson never caught a TD or had more than 50 yards in a game that Romeo Doubs was also active. The Packers (hopefully?) will add at least another body to the room in the draft.

Top-10 in PPR points above expectation, Watson’s big-play ability obviously shouldn’t be held against him, but there’s a low floor here should Love struggle to run the offense. Look at Watson a bit more as a boom-or-bust WR3.

WR32: Falcons WR Drake London

Underdog ADP: WR24 (45)
Key question: Was the second half of London’s rookie year sneaky solid?

It was! London ripped off 6-95-0, 7-70-0, 7-96-0, 5-47-0, and 6-120-0 receiving lines during the final five weeks of the year, getting a solid eight-plus targets on each occasion.

London was flashing some lethal route-running ability for a man his size even before the late-season breakout. Turning 22 in July, it’d make sense if the 2022 NFL Draft’s No. 8 overall pick’s late-season ascension is the sign of more to come.

The gargantuan-sized problem in the room: TE Kyle Pitts was sidelined during the final six weeks of 2022, undoubtedly helping London obtain a more consistent target share inside the NFL’s single most run-heavy offense.

Overall, London had just one game with eight-plus targets in Weeks 1 to 11 with Pitts active vs. five such performances during the final six weeks after. Their workloads were nearly identical when both were healthy.

Note that Desmond Ridder starting the final four weeks of the season also played into this volume equation, but that’s also another reminder that Ridder and/or Taylor Heinicke probably shouldn’t be expected to supply consistent high-end efficiency inside an offense that didn’t have any last season.

London would be pushing for a top-20 spot on this list with even league-average potential volume and play under center. That leaves some meat on the bone given his current ADP of WR24 on Underdog Fantasy, where you can get a 100% deposit match of up to $100 by following the offer below.

WR33: Colts WR Michael Pittman

Underdog ADP: WR26 (48.5)
Key question: Why couldn’t Pittman do more with his elite volume in 2022?

Pittman does deserve credit for his 99-925-4 receiving line; he worked as the WR22 in PPR points per game. Still, his efficiency numbers all declined in a major way after improving across the board from his first to second season:

2020: 1.37 yards per route run, 12.6 yards per reception, 15.5% targets per route run
2021: 1.95 YPRR, 12.3 YPR, 22.3% TPRR
2022: 1.44 YPRR, 9.3 YPR, 21.7% YPRR

Obviously, Matt Ryan and Sam Ehlinger didn’t help matters, but it’s also not a given Gardner Minshew or a rookie signal-caller vastly improve the league’s reigning 30th-ranked scoring offense.

New head coach Shane Steichen certainly helped engineer an awfully lethal Eagles offense over the past two seasons; just realize Pittman once again needs to prove himself to an entirely new play-caller and QB—neither of whom are guaranteed to be, what’s the word, good in 2023.

Jan 8, 2023; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA;Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. (11) catches a touchdown in the first quarter against the Houston Texans at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

Pittman’s porous track record of washed QBs is complemented by him never having faced any sort of meaningful target competition—it’s possible the latter variable changes in a meaningful way during the 2023 NFL Draft.

At 27th in PPR points per game over the past two seasons, I’m treating Pittman as the WR3 he’s been as opposed to the upside WR2 he could be in a better overall offense.

WR34: Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy

Underdog ADP: WR22 (44.2)
Key question: Why should fantasy managers believe 2023 will be different for Jeudy?

Trade rumors have surrounded Jeudy throughout the offseason after he set career-high marks in receptions (67), receiving yards (972), and TDs (6) alike in 2022. The Russell Wilson experience has certainly been an overall failure so far, but Jeudy’s end-of-season boom shouldn’t be ignored:

Week 14: 8 receptions-73 yards-3 TD, PPR WR1
Week 15: 7-76-0, WR22
Week 16: 6-117-0, WR14
Week 17: 7-38-0, WR28
Week 18: 5-154-0, WR3

Of course, head coach Sean Payton’s new offense doesn’t guarantee to feature Jeudy ahead of Courtland Sutton or even Tim Patrick (seriously). It remains to be seen if Wilson will rebound from his career-worst 2022 campaign, or if the reigning 32nd-ranked scoring offense will once again function as one of the league’s least fantasy-friendly environments.

Jeudy tied for 12th in yards per route run (2.18) and ranked 21st in PFF receiving grade (77.9) last season; he has the underlying efficiency numbers of a stud WR…if only the offense can improve.

Those rather awesome efficiency numbers still only produced a WR20 mark in PPR points per game due in large part to a WR36 standing in expected PPR points per game; careful about spending too heavily on the most expensive piece of a still rather unknown (and potentially terrible) passing attack.

Tier 7: Unproven with sky-high potential

WR35: Lions WR Jameson Williams

Underdog ADP: WR30 (54.5)
Key question: What’s the track record of year-two WRs who produced essentially nothing as rookies?

Fantasy Life director of analytics Dwain “The Rock” McFarland had the following to say about Williams as a prospect last season:

“The 21-year-old receiver is the best deep threat in the class. He ranked among the top five FBS receivers in touchdowns on deep passes, yards after the catch (YAC) per reception and yards per deep route run. Williams’ speed helped him separate from defenders unlike any other receiver in college football last year.

The difference between Williams finding fantasy success compared to being a bust is if he’s able to deal with the physicality of NFL cornerbacks and run a complete route tree. Some of his top comparisons are to DeSean Jackson and Will Fuller V. Both players were also known for their speed and had some excellent games, but were unpredictable on a week-by-week basis.

Williams is taller than the average speedy receiver which gives him a chance to be a more complete receiver than Jackson or Fuller, but he likely needs to add more muscle. He caught only four contested targets and had only 11 catches when he wasn’t either open or wide open. It’s hard to fault him for being able to get open, but even the best NFL receivers don’t get open as often as he did in college. How he will handle this transition is unknown.”

Williams wound up touching the ball just twice in six games as a rookie. It was cool that those two touches produced a 41-yard TD as well as a 40-yard rush, but it was largely a lost first season. There was also the rather awesome 66-yard TD in Week 18 that was called back by penalty.

Still, just 15 other WRs drafted in the first round failed to gain at least 250 receiving yards as a rookie. The list is not great! Obviously the injury context adds credence to the idea that Williams will be in a far better position to contribute in 2023; just realize it’s rare to see these sorts of major bounce-backs.

And yet, Williams finds himself as the clear-cut No. 1 outside WR inside of the league’s reigning fifth-ranked scoring offense after the Lions didn’t re-sign D.J. Chark. It’s reasonable to expect far more production in 2023—it can’t get much lower—but it’s tough to immediately expect top-30 goodness from a player who has gained more than 160 receiving yards in one season since 2019.

WR36: Titans WR Treylon Burks

Underdog ADP: WR37 (71.2)
Key question: Does Burks profile as a true No. 1 WR moving forward?

Burks’s rookie season never quite got grooving. Turf toe and a concussion limited the 2022 NFL Draft’s 18th overall pick to just 11 total games, and Ryan Tannehill wasn’t active for the last three of those contests.

The allure of Burks is simple: He flashed down the stretch and remains the clear-cut No. 1 WR inside an offense with arguably less target competition than any other unit in the league. It’s rare to find a first-round WR with sky-high target share potential available this late in drafts.

The problem: The Titans remain fully devoted to the religion of giving Derrick Henry as many touches as possible. Perhaps new OC Tim Kelly changes things, although he was already the team’s passing game coordinator last season.

Burks will be on the rise should the Titans decline to add another serious resource to their WR room during the draft. While that does seem unlikely, the rising second-year talent profiles as someone capable of providing some booms regardless. He’s appropriately priced along the position’s WR3 borderline.

WR37: Chiefs WR Kadarius Toney

Underdog ADP: WR38 (72.6)
Key question: How good has Toney been in his admittedly small sample size?

Toney has “it.” I mean, how many other WRs have you seen adjust their gloves during the middle of the play before making a dope contested catch downfield?:

Of course, there are a few more quantifiable reasons to be excited about Toney’s fantasy potential with the Chiefs.

The 24-year-old talent never reached even 50% of the offense’s snaps during his 10 games in Kansas City due to injury (hamstring) and learning the offense, but the former 20th overall pick of the 2021 NFL Draft did flash some of the ridiculous movement skills that made him a fantasy dark horse in the first place.

Whether it was his Super Bowl punt return or breaking tackles against the Jaguars: Toney plays football like he’s moving on fast-forward.

A true featured role would instantly boom Toney into upside WR2 territory, although that’s hardly a guarantee. Travis Kelce will continue to be the offense’s No. 1 pass-game option, while future draft picks could complicate the team’s tentative starting three-WR set of Toney, Skyy Moore, and Marques Valdes-Scantling.

The salivating upside on the table has me in line with Toney’s borderline WR3 ADP, although Moore is probably the better cost-adjusted dart at the moment. At a minimum: Please, injury gods, let the ex-Giants talent at least stay healthy for a full season so we can find out once and for all if the hype is truly warranted.

Tier 8: High expectations for good reason

WR38: Rookie WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Underdog ADP: WR29

WR39: Ravens WR Rashod Bateman

Underdog ADP: WR44 (87.8)

WR40: Bills WR Gabriel Davis

Underdog ADP: WR40 (77.7)

WR41: Commanders WR Jahan Dotson

Underdog ADP: WR41 (80)

WR42: Steelers WR George Pickens

Underdog ADP: WR36 (66.8)

WR43: Rookie WR Jordan Addison

Underdog ADP: WR46

WR44: Rookie WR Quentin Johnston

Underdog ADP: WR43

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Tier 9: Projected targets are a helluva drug

WR45: Patriots WR JuJu Smith-Schuster

Underdog ADP: WR51 (106.7)

WR46: Raiders WR Jakobi Meyers

Underdog ADP: WR50 (102.9)

WR47: Broncos WR Courtland Sutton

Underdog ADP: WR45 (91.1)

WR48: Cowboys WR Brandin Cooks

Underdog ADP: WR42 (86.4)

WR49: Browns WR Donovan Peoples-Jones

Underdog ADP: WR55 (116.8)

WR50: Saints WR Michael Thomas

Underdog ADP: WR47 (97.3)

WR51: Bears WR Darnell Mooney

Underdog ADP: WR53 (111.1)

WR52: Browns WR Elijah Moore

Underdog ADP: WR48 (102.5)

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Tier 10: Young man’s game

WR53: Rookie WR Jalin Hyatt

Underdog ADP: WR58 ()

WR54: Rookie WR Zay Flowers

Underdog ADP: WR49

WR55: Giants WR Wan’Dale Robinson

Underdog ADP: WR62 (139.3)

WR56: Rookie WR Josh Downs

Underdog ADP: WR64

Tier 11: Non-No. 1 WR who is good at football

WR57: Panthers WR D.J. Chark

Underdog ADP: WR67 (152.4)

WR58: Panthers WR Adam Thielen

Underdog ADP: WR63 (141.4)

WR59: Bengals WR Tyler Boyd

Underdog ADP: WR56 (121.8)

WR60: Jaguars WR Zay Jones

Underdog ADP: WR59 (124.8)

WR61: Vikings WR K.J. Osborn

Underdog ADP: WR52 (111.2)

WR62: Chiefs WR Skyy Moore

Underdog ADP: WR54

WR63: Broncos WR Tim Patrick

Underdog ADP: WR76 (174.3)

WR64: Jets WR Allen Lazard

Underdog ADP: WR57 (122)

WR65: Packers WR Romeo Doubs

Underdog ADP: WR65 (144.9)

WR66: Cardinals WR Rondale Moore

Underdog ADP: WR70 (155.6)

WR67: Cowboys WR Michael Gallup

Underdog ADP: WR72 (159.3)

WR68: Colts WR Alec Pierce

Underdog ADP: WR66 (146.9)

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Tier 12: Can say more than one nice thing about them

WR69: Commanders WR Curtis Samuel

Underdog ADP: WR75 (173.8)

WR70: Texans WR Nico Collins

Underdog ADP: WR73 (166.3)

WR71: Saints WR Rashid Shaheed

Underdog ADP: WR68 (152.8)

WR72: Raiders WR Hunter Renfrow

Underdog ADP: WR74 (168.4)

WR73: Bears WR Chase Claypool

Underdog ADP: WR77 (175.8)

WR74: Patriots WR Tyquan Thornton

Underdog ADP: WR78 (178.2)

WR75: Giants WR Parris Campbell

Underdog ADP: WR80 (185.2)

WR76: Chargers WR Josh Palmer

Underdog ADP: WR61 (131.1)

WR77: Chiefs WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Underdog ADP: WR69 (159.3)

WR78: Bills WR Khalil Shakir

Underdog ADP: WR79 (179.8)

WR79: Bills WR Deonte Harty

Underdog ADP: WR94

WR80: Giants WR Darius Slayton

Underdog ADP: WR85

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Tier 12: Who knows, man

WR81: Free agent WR Odell Beckham Jr.

Underdog ADP: WR60 (130.7)

WR82: Rookie WR Kayshon Boutte

Underdog ADP: WR87

WR83: Texans WR John Metchie

Underdog ADP: WR82 (187.9)

WR84: Giants WR Isaiah Hodgins

Underdog ADP: WR71 (159.3)

WR85: Panthers WR Terrace Marshall

Underdog ADP: WR83 (188.8)

WR86: Jets WR Mecole Hardman

Underdog ADP: WR81 (188.1)

WR87: Rams WR Tutu Atwell

Underdog ADP: WR104

WR88: Rookie WR Marvin Mims

Underdog ADP: WR88

WR89: Rookie WR Rashee Rice

Underdog ADP: WR89

WR90: Rookie WR Cedric Tillman

Underdog ADP: WR91

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Tier 13: At one point we were hyped

WR91: Patriots WR DeVante Parker

Underdog ADP: WR92

WR92: Rams WR Allen Robinson

Underdog ADP: WR90 (222.9)

WR93: Texans WR Robert Woods

Underdog ADP: WR84 (195.3)

WR94: Jets WR Corey Davis

Underdog ADP: WR95

WR95: Ravens WR Devin Duvernay

Underdog ADP: WR99

WR96: Panthers WR Laviska Shenault

Underdog ADP: WR112

WR97: Cardinals WR Greg Dortch

Underdog ADP: WR98

WR98: Falcons WR Mack Hollins

Underdog ADP: WR97

WR99: Giants WR Sterling Shepard

Underdog ADP: WR111

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Tier 14: Probably not, but you could imagine

WR100: Colts WR Isaiah McKenzie

Underdog ADP: WR93

WR101: Rams WR Van Jefferson

Underdog ADP: WR86

WR102: Browns WR David Bell

Underdog ADP: WR154

WR103: Broncos WR K.J. Hamler

Underdog ADP: WR133

WR104: Buccaneers WR Russell Gage

Underdog ADP: WR96

WR105: Steelers WR Calvin Austin

Underdog ADP: WR113

WR106: Chiefs WR Justyn Ross

Underdog ADP: WR106

WR107: Eagles WR Quez Watkins

Underdog ADP: WR110

WR108: 49ers WR Jauan Jennings

Underdog ADP: WR114

WR109: Titans WR Kyle Philips

Underdog ADP: WR135

WR110: Jets WR Denzel Mims

Underdog ADP: WR157

WR111: Bears WR Velus Jones Jr.

Underdog ADP: WR300

WR112: Vikings WR Jalen Reagor

Underdog ADP: WR140

WR113: Titans WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine

Underdog ADP: WR123

WR114: Texans WR Noah Brown

Underdog ADP: WR119

WR115: Patriots WR Kendrick Bourne

Underdog ADP: WR118

WR116: 49ers WR Danny Gray

Underdog ADP: WR129

WR117: Seahawks WR D’Wayne Eskridge

Underdog ADP: WR164

WR118: Commanders WR Dyami Brown

Underdog ADP: WR132

WR119: Broncos WR Marquez Callaway

Underdog ADP: WR127

WR120: Dolphins WR Cedrick Wilson

Underdog ADP: WR144

2023 Fantasy Football WR Tiers

Tier 1: Griddy

WR1: Vikings WR Justin Jefferson

WR2: Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase

Tier 2: Certified kings

WR3: Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill

WR4: Bills WR Stefon Diggs

WR5: Rams WR Cooper Kupp

WR6: Raiders WR Davante Adams

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Tier 3: Absolute stud with some competition

WR7: Eagles WR A.J. Brown

WR8: Cowboys WR CeeDee Lamb

WR9: Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown

WR10: Dolphins WR Jaylen Waddle

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WR11: Bengals WR Tee Higgins

WR12: Eagles WR DeVonta Smith

Tier 4: Ballers with one red flag

WR13: Jets WR Garrett Wilson

WR14: Seahawks WR D.K. Metcalf

WR15: Seahawks WR Tyler Lockett

WR16: Jaguars WR Calvin Ridley

WR17: Saints WR Chris Olave

WR18: Browns WR Amari Cooper

WR19: 49ers WR Deebo Samuel

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WR20: Chargers WR Keenan Allen

WR21: Chargers WR Mike Williams

WR22: Cardinals (for now) WR DeAndre Hopkins

WR23: Commanders WR Terry McLaurin

WR24: Cardinals WR Marquise Brown

WR25: Bears WR D.J. Moore

Tier 5: Potential cheap No. 1 WRs

WR26: Steelers WR Diontae Johnson

WR27: Jaguars WR Christian Kirk

WR28: 49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk

WR29: Buccaneers WR Mike Evans

WR30: Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin

Tier 6: Mega leap candidates

WR31: Packers WR Christian Watson

WR32: Falcons WR Drake London

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WR33: Colts WR Michael Pittman

WR34: Broncos WR Jerry Jeudy

Tier 7: Unproven with sky-high potential

WR35: Lions WR Jameson Williams

WR36: Titans WR Treylon Burks

WR37: Chiefs WR Kadarius Toney

Tier 8: High expectations for good reason

WR38: Rookie WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR39: Ravens WR Rashod Bateman

WR40: Bills WR Gabriel Davis

WR41: Commanders WR Jahan Dotson

WR42: Steelers WR George Pickens

WR43: Rookie WR Jordan Addison

WR44: Rookie WR Quentin Johnston

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Tier 9: Projected targets are a helluva drug

WR45: Patriots WR JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR46: Raiders WR Jakobi Meyers

WR47: Broncos WR Courtland Sutton

WR48: Cowboys WR Brandin Cooks

WR49: Browns WR Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR50: Saints WR Michael Thomas

WR51: Bears WR Darnell Mooney

WR52: Browns WR Elijah Moore

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Tier 10: Young man’s game

WR53: Rookie WR Jalin Hyatt

WR54: Rookie WR Zay Flowers

WR55: Giants WR Wan’Dale Robinson

WR56: Rookie WR Josh Downs

Tier 11: Non-No. 1 WR who is good at football

WR57: Panthers WR D.J. Chark

WR58: Panthers WR Adam Thielen

WR59: Bengals WR Tyler Boyd

WR60: Jaguars WR Zay Jones

WR61: Vikings WR K.J. Osborn

WR62: Chiefs WR Skyy Moore