Anytime touchdown bets are a fun way to be football. Who doesn’t love cashing in on big plays and guys finding paydirt? At the same time, the overall TD market is often laden with poor to questionable pricing as books generally have a big hold on many of the TD bets they offer. 

There are also pockets of value to be found in this kind of market and every week I’ll be going through trying to find the best TD props for you using the FantasyLife+ projections.  We’ll also be line shopping with the Fantasy Life prop finder tool, which allows you to shop for the best prices across all the major sportsbooks in a flash.

Let’s dive into Week 8 and see what the FantasyLife+ tools can unearth for the next big slate of the season.  

Week 8 Anytime TD Prop Bets

Kenneth Walker (-120; bet365)

• Play to -150
• 2+ TDs (+400)

Walker is this week’s high-usage target at RB. At -120, we’re getting an implied probability of him scoring around 54%, but his actual TD rate has been much higher than that. The Seahawks back has scored in four of his five starts this season and has seven total TDs on the year. Dating back to last year (when he was in a less explosive scheme), Walker has scored in six of his last 10 games–which is still above the implied odds of betting him at -120.

The Bills are also a solid matchup. While their defense rates out well in efficiency metrics, they’ve allowed some monster games to opposing RBs this season and six TDs to the position already. Walker’s also got a solid stranglehold on the short down work for Seattle and has taken 80% of the Inside the 5 (I5) carries this year.

With DK Metcalf banged up and the Bills’ rush defense attackable, I'd personally be fine playing Walker down to -140 in this spot. He’s likely to get a few more touches just based on the matchup (and potentially helped out by his team’s injury report as well). He’s also a player who can score from distance, which can also save us in a spot like this if he does get pipped for a goal-line carry by his QB or backup RB.

Tyreek Hill Anytime TD (+120; bet365)

• Play to +100

Last year it was often commonplace for Hill to be going off at -110 or lower in the anytime TD market, so seeing him with odds above +100–with Tua Tagovailoa set to return–has piqued my interest.

Overall, Hill has now scored in 13 of the last 18 games that he’s played in, where Tagovailoa has started and finished the game at QB for Miami. That’s a 72% success rate and far better than the 45% implied odds of +125 currently available on him at bet365. 

Just from a past history perspective, Hill is likely fine to bet blindly this week at these levels, but the matchup is really what puts this one over the top for me. The Cardinals' defense was helped out last week by an incompetent Chargers receiving core, but, overall, have been one of the worst defenses against the pass this season–and don’t have a true shutdown corner.

Arizona’s 32nd in Success Rate against the pass and has allowed eight TDs to the WR position this season, which is tied for the seventh-most in the league. The Packers WR unit torched them for four scores in Week 6 and it feels like the Dolphins beleaguered pass-catchers, with their starting QB back, could be in for a similar kind of day.

Hill is more than playable at his current number and could likely be played down to -110 in this spot, considering the matchup.

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Dalton Kincaid anytime TD (+250; bet365) 

• Play to +220

Kincaid has been in a couple of tough matchups over his last few starts. Two of his last three opponents, the Texans and Titans, both have solid pass defenses and rate out as top-10 units against the TE. This week, however, he takes on Seattle who have allowed the fourth most catches to opposing TEs and struggled mightly against another dynamic pass-catching TE in George Kittle (5-58-2) who scored twice against this unit in Week 6.

I’ve already locked in an over on Kincaid’s receiving yards, who is well overdue for a breakout game, in our free NFL bet tracker this week, but I have no problem targeting him for a TD this week either. Seattle-Buffalo should be a close game and the Seahawks have allowed an average of 2.0 passing TDs over their last four starts.

While Kincaid’s odds don’t jump out as a huge value proposition at first glance, his ability to keep gaining targets (21% target share in 2024) in this lower-volume pass offense suggests he’ll eventually see some positive TD regression soon.

At +250, I’m all for adding a little bit of TD exposure against Seattle, whose defense under Mike McDonald has proven inept at covering elite pass-catching TEs this season.

Lucas Krull Anytime TD (+700; Caesars)

• Play to +600

I targeted Krull last Thursday Night for an anytime TD against the Saints. Most of my analysis was on point as Krull (who was also priced above +700 last week) got treated like the starting TE, posting a strong 17% target share while converting three of his four targets into catches for 41 yards.

Unfortunately, the Broncos were able to convert via the ground last week near the goal line, and while fate may again stop Krull from scoring against Carolina, his odds remain too deep to ignore.

The Broncos TE continues to be priced like a backup who is barely seeing the field at +700, odds that don’t take into account the large implied team total of Denver (25.5)--or the fact they have no dominant WR, to begin with. After allowing two passing TDs to Marcus Mariota last week, the Panthers have also now given up multiple passing TDs in six of seven games thus far and four TDs to opposing TEs (including two last week).

We missed on Krull in Week 7, but with the oddsmakers slow to adjust to his new role, there is no reason not to run it back in this spot and try to cash in on our Krull thesis in Week 8.