Are The Patriots Actually An Underdog Story In Super Bowl 60?

I don’t know how it happened, but the New England Patriots—who have won six of the past 24 Super Bowls—have been afforded the luxury of positioning themselves as the lucky, “no one believes in us” underdogs vs. Seattle.

All 12 ESPN analysts picked the Seahawks in a recent poll.

The most popular bets at sportsbooks are the Seahawks across a variety of alt lines.

Sure, Seattle is the better team. As Matthew Freedman noted here, our projections are mostly in line with the market (we have the Seahawks power rated as +3.5 points better than the Patriots on a neutral field).

But let’s not pretend like this is some foregone conclusion. Similar to the Broncos in the Conference Championship, the implied odds of a Patriots “upset” at +190 are still 35%. That’s not an insane longshot—it means every three times this game is played, the Patriots win one.

Seattle might be the more well-rounded team, but the Patriots have the better QB and the better coach.

It should shock no one if the Patriots can “steal” another Super Bowl victory just five years after Tom Brady skipped town.

New England might try to sell you on the “us vs. the world” storyline here, but I’m not buying it.

Nope. Two can play that game …

Seattle is the actual underdog. Hopefully, they can get lucky and pull off an upset vs. the juggernaut Death Star!

BUT THERE IS AN EDGE ON A PATRIOTS PLAYER PROP …

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An Early Look At The Top 20 RBs For 2026

Week by week, Kendall Valenzuela will continue to roll out her 2026 fantasy football rankings and provide breakdowns of each position.

With her 2026 quarterback rankings and 2026 wide receiver rankings in the books, it's time to move on to the top 20 running backs ahead of the fantasy football offseason and highlight some of the standouts …

4. Jonathan Taylor | IND

The season started so hot for Jonathan Taylor; from Weeks 1-13, he averaged 24.8 PPG (RB2 behind Christian McCaffrey). And then … the fantasy playoffs happened. In Weeks 14-17 during the playoffs, he averaged only 14.7 PPG (RB16). Still, Taylor tied a career-high with 20 total touchdowns, and his 1,585 rushing yards were his most since 2021. He's a bell-cow running back and is only going to be 27 years old when the season starts. Sign me up!

6. James Cook | BUF

Remember the conversations about James Cook regression? Yeah, he looked us in the face and absolutely laughed! He had more carries and yards in 2025 than in 2024 and scored 14 total touchdowns. Cook finished as the RB6, but really lacked in the receiving game (33 catches for 291 yards and two touchdowns). People might not like the Joe Brady hire from an NFL perspective, but in fantasy, it makes me believe that Cook will have a somewhat similar workload in 2026, which means he's more than worthy of a first-round pick.

8. Omarion Hampton | LAC

Matthew Berry's Ride or Die from 2025 unfortunately didn't see much of the field after he fractured his left ankle in Week 5. He finished as the RB16 and was also working behind an injured offensive line. With Mike McDaniel coming to town, Hampton could be truly unlocked. When McDaniel was in Miami last season, De'Von Achane finished with 238 attempts for 1,350 yards and eight touchdowns. And how could we forget the passing-game work? Achane also finished with 67 receptions for 488 yards and four touchdowns on 85 targets. If we get a full, healthy season from Hampton, the sky's the limit.

WHO LANDS AT RB1 — BIJAN OR GIBBS?

Around the Watercooler

The latest fantasy nuggets, silliness and NFL gossip from our merry band of football nerds.

🎵 Bad Bunny’s first song will be … predictions for the Super Bowl 60 halftime show.

📝 ICYMI: Why Garrett Nussmeier’s NFL Draft stock is soaring after the weekend.

🔮 Super Bowl 60’s script is leaked, and we have the final score.

🤝 The Raiders get a new coach. Nice hire.

🤓 Super Bowl special teams breakdown. Edge Seahawks, methinks.

🎙️ I like Fernando Mendoza. Fun interview.

🤔 Oh, now everyone believes in Sam Darnold. Convenient!

☝️ There’s one thing for sure in the Super Bowl. Just one thing.

🤔 This coaching cycle. Just like we thought.

🔮 Freedman does have a point. Maye Day, Maye Day.