NHL Best Bets for February 27th. Top Picks for Tuesday's 12-game slate.

The NHL continues to roll on as teams hit the final quarter of the season. We’re back with a full NHL betting breakdown for this juicy 12-game slate that has a lot of big names in action and pivotal playoff matchups.

The NHL best bets for Tuesday, February 27 are below.

Flyers ML vs. Lightning (+100, FanDuel)

Play to -105

Tampa Bay is coming off a couple of road victories but they were hardly against top-tier opponents. The Devils seem hellbent on wasting this season while the Islanders have been floundering around all year. The Flyers haven’t been racking up a ton of wins of late but they played the Rangers tight and their shooters landed 6 goals on 21 shots against the Penguins (in the 7-6 loss).

5v5 the Flyers should be in a good spot in this matchup. They’re a top 10 team in terms of creating chances (xGF%) at even strength while the Lightning remain a special teams-focused squad that can be shut down by disciplined teams with good penalty-kills. We should also get Samuel Ersson back in net for the Flyers who has stopped 43 of his last 46 shots faced.

The Flyers don’t have the top-end talent the Lightning do but they certainly have the advantage in the bottom 6 and will likely look to make this a close, low-scoring game against a Tampa team in the middle of four games in a six-day stretch. Anything above -110 on the Flyers looks well worth taking with them set as the home team today.

Coyotes ML at Canadiens (-108, DraftKings)

Play to -120

“Nobody beats the Arizona Coyotes 13 times in a row”, is something I hope we’ll be saying after tonight.

The Coyotes are on a terrible 12-game losing streak but they have had some positive moments over their last few starts. They took the Jets to OT and played the Avalanche close last weekend as well.

Overall, it has been a brutal stretch of opponents for the Coyotes who have faced the murders row of Carolina, Colorado, Edmonton, Toronto, and Winnipeg over their last five games, but get a huge reprieve tonight with the Canadiens on tap. Montreal has lost 5 games in a row themselves, and 7 of their 8 with their only win that stretch being a 5-0 win over a completely non-interested Ducks squad.

The line looks funky in that the Coyotes are only -110 but there is a good argument that they should be favorites in this spot. Arizona has fallen off pace from the start of the year but this is the best matchup they have seen in a month and are likely to have the advantage in multiple areas. The Canadiens take a lot of penalties (6th most in the league) and have the second-worst penalty-kill in the league – which should set up well for the Coyotes power-play which is likely the best special teams unit in this game.

With Connor Ingram set to start in net for Arizona, who has played well over his last two games, I like playing the Coyotes on the moneyline tonight down to small favorites.

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Kings ML at Flames (-105, FanDuel)

Play to -120

The Kings are on the tail end of a back-to-back so they will be at a rest disadvantage. However, given that the Kings are also coming off a loss - and the fact they are trying to hold onto one of the last playoff spots in the West – they likely won’t have much difficulty getting up for this game.

Further, when we look at these two rosters it’s hard to make the Kings as underdogs, regardless of the rest circumstances. L.A. remains one of the most dominant 5v5 teams in the league (4th in xGF%) and has fired 90 shots on net over their last two games. The Kings have had goalie issues of late but they’re likely to start Cam Talbot tonight who looks like he has found some form again after a long break. Talbot carried the Kings in their hot early start and has now stopped 61 of his last 63 shots faced.

Ultimately, this feels like the classic buy-low, sell-high spot. The Flames have been on a small tear since they traded away one of their top forwards while the Kings continue to be hot and cold. With the odds now favoring Calgary it’s a good time to buy back on the Kings and look for them to get a split on this Alberta road trip.

You can tail the Kings at FanDuel, where you can get $150 in bonus bets when you sign up below for a new FD Sportsbook account:

Sabres ML at Panthers (+198, FanDuel)

Play to +190

Buffalo comes into this game having won three straight games and four of their last five. The Sabres have been playing solid defensive hockey of late and are catching a Florida team whose offense hasn’t been producing many goals lately. The Panthers have only managed 6 goals in their last three contests and two of those games have been against sub-par defensive teams in the Capitals and Senators.

Additionally, while this hot run could end at anytime, Buffalo has been getting great goaltending from Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen who has now posted save%s of .935 or better in four of his last five starts. While I’d wait until Luukkonen officially gets announced as a starter to make this bet the fact the line in this game hasn’t moved towards the Sabres at all makes them look like a solid underdog to target tonight.

The Panthers' offensive regression hasn’t hit them hard in the W-L column yet but that could change tonight. The Sabres are playing some of their most consistent hockey of the season and have a goalie who looks capable of stealing this game even if they do get outplayed up front.

Cody Glass SOG ladder

3+ shots on net (+190, bet365)
4+ shots on goal (+500, bet365)
5+ shots on goal (+950, bet365)

If you’re looking to take a shot with a bet that will yield some heavier returns today I like the odds we’re getting on Glass’ alternate shots on goal lines. The Predators winger has had a slow couple of games but he’s a player who can spike in the shots on goal category in limited action. Three times over his last seven games he’s landed 5 or more SOG and only one of those games saw Glass play over 15 mins of ice.

Further, Glass has great home splits in terms of shooting as he’s averaged 2.33 SOG in 15 home games this season (vs. just 1.56 SOG while on the road). The Senators are an above-average matchup today as well given that they played last night and have allowed over 31 shots a game on the road this year.

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Morgan Frost over 0.5 points (+110, DraftKings)

Play to: +100

The Flyers will be without Travis Konecny this evening which should mean more ice time for Morgan Frost who is likely to see elevated minutes and power-play exposure in his absence. Frost hasn’t landed a point in two straight games but will face a Tampa Bay squad whom he landed two assists against earlier in the season.

The Lightning have allowed 3.55 goals against on the road this year and Frost has averaged 0.77 points per game at home this season (17 points in 22 home starts). While you don’t have to double down on the Flyers and Frost tonight I certainly like the over on Frost’s point prop in this spot at +100 or better.

NHL Best Bets for February 27th. Top Picks for Tuesday's 12-game slate.

Flyers ML vs. Lightning (+100, FanDuel)

Coyotes ML at Canadiens (-108, DraftKings)

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Kings ML at Flames (-105, FanDuel)

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Sabres ML at Panthers (+198, FanDuel)

Cody Glass SOG ladder

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Morgan Frost over 0.5 points (+110, DraftKings)